Paper research · pre-game · Phase 3
BIG OWL RESEARCH BOARD
Built 2026-09-06 02:10 ET · ESPN injuries OK (CFB) · Cleatz fetch failed / empty HTML. Manual paste fallback: https://data.vsin.com/betting-splits/ or https://cleatz.com/public-betting/college-football/ · TheSpread steam OK (open→now; merged 0; moved 0 / flat 0) · ESPN logos OK (CFB) · injuries merged: 0 · public_tease merged: 0 · steam merged: 0
Status
PLAY
LEAN
HOLD
PASS
Last updated · 2026-09-06 02:10 ET
Slate rows
10
research_board.csv
PLAY / LEAN
3
3 play · 0 lean
HOLD
1
weather / wait
PASS
6
large gap skipped
TOP OPPORTUNITIES
CFB
PLAY
Tennessee State at Georgia
CFB
PLAY
Ohio at Nebraska
EPL
PLAY
Manchester City vs Coventry
CFB
PASS
Liberty at James Madison
CFB
HOLD
Ball State at Ohio State
SLATE TABLE · EVENT · MARKET · OUR NUMBER · GAP · INJURY · PUBLIC · STEAM · VERDICT
Sport
Status
Sort
| Kick ET | Event | Market | Our number | Gap | Injury | Public/tease | Steam | Verdict | Ledger |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFB 2026-09-05 15:00 |
Tennessee State at Georgia FPI Georgia by 61.9 vs market -46.5. Athens heat ~100F / dangerous heat for 3pm. FCS TSU 0-1. Paper only. |
Georgia -46.5 · spread | -61.9 (ESPN FPI) | +15.4 | C Bobo + EDGE Gabe Harris cleared to return (AJC) | HND 77% / BET 74% fav · Cleatz | open -8.5 → now -12 (-3.5 dog) · TheSpread | PLAY | CFB-003 |
| CFB 2026-09-05 12:00 |
Liberty at James Madison Massey JMU by ~20.5 (gap ~14) but no same-day injury/weather fact — barred by desk rules. |
James Madison -6.5 · spread | -20.5 (Massey MOV) | +14 | — | HND>BET +24 und · Cleatz | open -6.5 → now -6.5 (flat) · TheSpread | PASS | — |
| CFB 2026-09-05 12:00 |
Ball State at Ohio State SP+ OSU by ~60.4 vs market -50.5 (gap ~9.9). Columbus thunderstorm/hail risk cuts against blowout side — HOLD weather. |
Ohio State -50.5 · spread | -60.4 (ESPN SP+) | +9.9 | — | HND>BET +16 und · Cleatz | open -50.5 → now -50.5 (flat) · TheSpread | HOLD | — |
| CFB 2026-09-05 12:00 |
Ohio at Nebraska Massey market NEB ~-24 / Massey MOV -15.5 (gap ~8.5) vs consensus Ohio +23.5. FPI NEB win% 91.7% also short of market. Paper only. |
Ohio +23.5 · spread | -15.5 (Massey MOV) | +8.5 | RT Tree Babalade out/camp injury — Gunnar Gottula starts; NWS heat advisory Lincoln | HND 63% / BET 66% fav · Cleatz | RLM? open -24.5 → now -23.5 (+1 dog) · TheSpread | PLAY | CFB-004 |
| CFB 2026-09-05 12:00 |
Oregon State at Houston Massey HOU by ~13.5 (gap ~7 toward OSU) but UH heat plan / 94F — weather favors home not the Massey dog. |
Houston -20.5 · spread | -13.5 (Massey MOV) | -7 | — | HND>BET +13 und · Cleatz | RLM? open -19.5 → now -20.5 (-1 dog) · TheSpread | PASS | — |
| CFB 2026-09-05 15:30 |
North Texas at Indiana FPI IU by 33.9 (gap 6.6 toward UNT) but SP+ IU by 39.9 ≈ market. Models conflict — PASS. |
Indiana -40.5 · spread | -33.9 (ESPN FPI (SP+ conflict)) | -6.6 | — | HND 74% / BET 67% fav · Cleatz | RLM? open -40.5 → now -39.5 (+1 dog) · TheSpread | PASS | — |
| CFB 2026-09-05 19:30 |
Clemson at LSU Massey LSU by ~3.5 (gap ~6–7) but FPI -9.5 / SP+ -9.8 ≈ market. Gap not consensus; both sides healthy. |
LSU -10.0 · spread | -3.5 (Massey (FPI/SP+ ≈ market)) | -6.5 | — | HND>BET +11 und · Cleatz | RLM? open -9.5 → now -10.5 (-1 dog) · TheSpread | PASS | — |
| CFB 2026-09-05 15:30 |
Marshall at Penn State Massey PSU by ~29.5 (gap ~5–6). No same-day injury/weather locking the favorite. |
Penn State -24.5 · spread | -29.5 (Massey MOV) | +5 | — | HND>BET +27 und · Cleatz | open -23.5 → now -23.5 (flat) · TheSpread | PASS | — |
| EPL 2026-09-05 10:00 |
Manchester City vs Coventry ClubELO MCI 2021 vs COV 1692 (+HFA ~65 → ~+3.3g) vs OddStorm AH City -2 @1.86 (gap ≥1.0g). Coventry 0-2. Paper only. |
Manchester City -2 · asian_handicap | -3.3 (ClubELO+HFA) | +1.3 | Doku injured; Semenyo projected start (Racing Post) | n/a | n/a | PLAY | EPL-002 |
| CFB 2026-09-05 15:30 |
Boise State at Oregon Massey / FPI / SP+ all ~-24.5 to -26 — no 4-pt gap. |
Oregon -24.5 · spread | -25.0 (Massey/FPI/SP+) | +0.5 | — | HND 90% / BET 87% fav · Cleatz | open -24.5 → now -24.5 (flat) · TheSpread | PASS | — |
Gap color: green ≥4 football / ≥1 soccer; yellow thin; red against market_side. Client sort/filter: chips + sort select (vanilla JS). Default |gap| desc. PASS/HOLD rows dimmed; PLAY/LEAN stay bright. public_tease = free DK handle% vs bets% (Cleatz) — proxy only, not Action sharp. steam = free open→now (TheSpread) — never invent opens; n/a if no free open.