Shadow strategy · fade majority tickets
BIG OWL FADE PUBLIC
2026-09-06 02:10 ET · paper research only
ATS
WIN
LOSS
PUSH
PENDING
Last updated · 2026-09-06 02:10 ET
Disclaimer: Shadow strategy only — not a live book.
Public % is Cleatz BET% (DraftKings tickets proxy), labeled honestly —
not Action Network sharp consensus, not Covers contest shares, not true book handle.
Handle% (HND) is tracked separately on the research board when available.
Small samples are noise; do not overfit a hot bucket.
Fade record
3-6
W-L(-P) · finals only
Shadow units
-3.27
1u @ −110 → +0.91 / −1
ROI
-36.3%
on risked 1u legs
Pending
0
awaiting finals
By sport
| Sport | Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFB | 3-6 | -3.27 | -36.3% |
By public_pct bucket (BET%)
| Bucket | Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55–60 | — | — | — |
| 60–65 | — | — | — |
| 65–70 | 1-1 | -0.09 | -4.5% |
| 70+ | 2-5 | -3.18 | -45.4% |
RECENT ROWS
Sport
Sort
| Kickoff ET | Sport | Event | Public side | Fade | Final | Public ATS | Fade ATS | Shadow u | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 19:30 | CFB | Clemson at LSU | LSU -10 · 73% | Clemson | Clemson 10–LSU 51 | win | loss | -1 | Cleatz BET% (DK tickets proxy) |
| 2026-09-05 15:30 | CFB | North Texas at Indiana | Indiana -40.5 · 67% | North Texas | North Texas 16–Indiana 52 | loss | win | 0.91 | Cleatz BET% (DK tickets proxy) |
| 2026-09-05 15:30 | CFB | Marshall at Penn State | Penn State -24.5 · 76% | Marshall | Marshall 0–Penn State 45 | win | loss | -1 | Cleatz BET% (DK tickets proxy) |
| 2026-09-05 15:30 | CFB | Boise State at Oregon | Oregon -24.5 · 87% | Boise State | Boise State 27–Oregon 34 | loss | win | 0.91 | Cleatz BET% (DK tickets proxy) |
| 2026-09-05 15:00 | CFB | Tennessee State at Georgia | Georgia -46.5 · 74% | Tennessee State | Tennessee State 3–Georgia 63 | win | loss | -1 | Cleatz BET% (DK tickets proxy) |
| 2026-09-05 12:00 | CFB | Ball State at Ohio State | Ohio State -50.5 · 74% | Ball State | Ball State 3–Ohio State 56 | win | loss | -1 | Cleatz BET% (DK tickets proxy) |
| 2026-09-05 12:00 | CFB | Ohio at Nebraska | Nebraska -23.5 · 66% | Ohio | Ohio 21–Nebraska 49 | win | loss | -1 | Cleatz BET% (DK tickets proxy) |
| 2026-09-05 12:00 | CFB | Liberty at James Madison | James Madison -6.5 · 71% | Liberty | Liberty 13–James Madison 20 | win | loss | -1 | Cleatz BET% (DK tickets proxy) |
| 2026-09-05 12:00 | CFB | Oregon State at Houston | Houston -20.5 · 73% | Oregon State | Oregon State 20–Houston 33 | loss | win | 0.91 | Cleatz BET% (DK tickets proxy) |
